Breaking down gun confiscation by the numbers

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Gun confiscation in perspective.

Okay so with all the talk going around of gun confiscation I thought it would be good to put everything into perspective and just break it down by the numbers.  Since numbers don’t have emotion, I felt this would be the best way to look at things.  Both side of this argument are very passionate about their beliefs, but just how realistic is gun confiscation.

According to the United States census bureau in 2017 America had a population of 325.7 million people.
According to a PEW research trust article in June of 2017 30% of Americans own guns.  Of those 66% of gun owners have more than one gun.  Additionally, 36% of the remaining population said that they would consider owning guns.  And 72% of Americans say they have fired a gun.
Using these percentages with the population we get the following.

·         97,710,000 gun owners in America
o   Assuming those that own multiples only have 2 guns that is 162,198,600 guns to be confiscated – we all happen to know that it’s likely a lot more than that.

·         117,252,000 additional Americans have had a year to decide if they were going to buy a gun

·         234,504,000 have fired a gun

On the enforcement side:
Per a law enforcement review study dated 2008 there were 1,100,000 employed full time in state and local law enforcement positions, with 801,200 of them actually sworn officers.  Also there were 100,000 additional part time employees, of which 44,000 were sworn officers.  On the federal level there were 120,000 full time law enforcement agents.
Per the military active duty registration system, in 2017 there were 1,281,900 active duty soldiers and 801,200 reservists in all branches of US military.

Assuming for 20% increase in the enforcement numbers from 2008 we end up with the following.
·         1,440,000 state and local employees
·         144,000 federal agents

Okay, so let’s break this down and make some assumptions.

Lets assume that all of the employees in law enforcement as well as all active duty and reserve military will participate in the confiscation effort. That leave 3,667,100 enforcers of gun confiscation to get guns 162,198,600 guns from 97,710,000 American citizens.  We can also assume that some number of potential enforcers will not agree with the gun confiscation and they will defect on moral grounds.  For the sake of this argument we will say that it is 10%.  This leaves just 3,300,390 enforcement agents to “come and take them” We can also assume that a large number of citizens will comply and just turn their guns over to those that come to confiscate them, or at least participate in a gun buyback program, and then some others will fight.  For this assumption, we will be generous to the side of those who comply.  Let’s say that only 3% of gun owners will fight the orders to turn over their guns.  This leaves a number of 2,931,300 owners who will fight to keep their guns.  Let’s also say that 3% of those who defected will also fight.  That is an additional 366,710 gun owners on the side of the Constitution as written by our founding fathers.

In conclusion,
3,300,390 employees are going to have to fight to the death with 3,298,010 gun owners who are fighting in something they believe in.  I think that it is generally safe to say that a gun confiscation effort in the United States of America would be very bad for everyone on both sides, but those who are fighting on their home turf, for something they believe in are probably going to be willing to go a lot farther than those who are doing a job.  Im just saying.

MOLON LABE, MOTHERFUCKERS!


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